Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 29th July)

Best Days: Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday for beginners, Monday

Recap

A good kick in swell yesterday with light offshore winds, fading rapidly today but nice and clean again for the keen.

This week and weekend (Jul 30 – Aug 2)

Our run of small, clean waves is set to continue over the coming days, with a weakening front moving in from the west today expected to produce a top up of 1-2ft W/SW swell tomorrow and likely Friday morning.

A stronger but less favourably aligned fetch of W/NW gales moving in behind should generate a reinforcing W/SW groundswell for later in the day Friday and Saturday to 2ft.

This looks as if it will ease into the afternoon, tiny Sunday.

Conditions will be favourable through this period with N/NW tending variable winds Thursday, N/NW tending variable NE winds Friday and N/NW tending NE winds Saturday.

Moving into next week and besides a new W/SW groundswell for Monday from a polar front pushing up and then towards the Bight, the models diverge pretty wildly regarding the strengthening of a surface trough, come broad low across South Australia early next week.

What we're likely to see is a broad cut-off system with no swell generating properties as this stage until possibly later next week when it moves further east. We'll have to have a closer look at this on Friday when the models hopefully start converging.