Stormy S/SE swell developing later week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 21st November)

Best Days: Protected spots Friday afternoon and early Saturday

Recap

Nothing to surf yesterday and today but we've got dynamic developments into the end of the week.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This week and weekend (Nov 22 - 25)

Currently a deep and powerful mid-latitude low is pushing across the Adelaide region.

We'll see this low track east-southeast over the coming 24 hours, repositioning itself east of Bass Strait and north-east of our East Coast until pushing off to the north-east Sunday.

As the low tracks across us tomorrow a fresh and gusty S'ly tending S/SW wind will be generated, but there'll be no real swell generating fetch until Friday.

This will result in tiny onshore surf all of tomorrow.

Come Friday though, we'll see strong to gale-force S/SE winds projected right into the south-east corner of the state, kicking up a stormy increase in S/SE windswell to 4-5ft into the afternoon. Winds will be poor though and strong from the S/SE-S. This should still favour a couple of spots through the day.

As the low starts to weaken Saturday the swell will also ease back from 4ft or so with better S/SW winds for more protected spots, tending S/SE into the afternoon.

Sunday will be poor with a smaller onshore swell easing back from 2ft+ or so with S/SE winds.

Longer term there's no normal W/SW-SW groundswells due and we may see another mid-latitude low moving in and bringing another SE swell event mid-late next week. More on this Friday.