Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 31st August)

Best Days: Sunday protected spots, Monday morning, Tuesday, Wednesday

Recap

A good pulse of new SW groundswell yesterday morning to 2-3ft across Clifton, easing through the day and smaller into this morning.

A new swell should kick back to 2ft to occasionally 3ft through this afternoon as winds remain favourable.

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This weekend and next week (Sep 1 - 7)

This afternoon's new swell will be the first of two pulses due across Clifton, with the second filling in tomorrow morning and provide similar sized sets.

Unfortunately conditions are now looking poor with a fresh to strong W/SW-SW breeze as a front pushing ahead of a much stronger polar storm moves across us.

Some small junky windswell is expected to build in the wake of the front, larger larger as SW gales are projected across us, but Sunday is the day to surf.

The polar frontal progression formed yesterday afternoon south of WA, and has already generated a great fetch of W/SW gales in our south-western swell window.

Models have upgraded the core wind speeds within this fetch and we'll see severe-gale W/SW winds projected towards us and then through our south-western swell window, pushing across us tomorrow afternoon and evening.

A large long-period SW groundswell is due to fill in Sunday and reaching 5-6ft on the sets across Clifton (undersized early). Winds will be onshore from the SW all day, favouring protected locations but only for experienced surfers.

Monday is still looking clean with a morning W/NW breeze and easing 3ft to maybe 4ft sets.

Some reinforcing W/SW swell is due Tuesday from a pre-frontal fetch of W/NW gales moving through our swell window over the weekend, keeping Clifton around 2ft+ Tuesday, easing from 1-2ft Wednesday.

Conditions look great each morning with NW offshores, light SE into Tuesday afternoon and N/NE Wednesday.

Longer term there's nothing significant on the cards as the storm track focusses up towards WA. We may see some new swell next weekend, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!