Prolonged run of swell from Sunday into next week
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 13th April)
Best Days: Protected spots later Sunday, Monday morning, Tuesday, Wednesday morning
Recap
A kick in swell through yesterday but with poor winds for Clifton, cleaner this morning but tiny.
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This weekend and next week (Apr 14 - 20)
We're looking at tiny surf tomorrow, but into Sunday and more so the afternoon we should start to see some fresh W/SW swell building, the start of a prolonged swell event extending through most of next week.
A vigorous mid-latitude low is expected to push into SA tomorrow before dipping south-east and aiming a fetch of W/SW gales through our western swell window tomorrow afternoon and evening.
This should create a fun sized W/SW groundswell for later Sunday that's expected to reach 3ft, mixed in with local W/SW windswell energy from a fetch of strong W/SW winds pushing under the state Sunday.
No real size is expected early, and a gusty W/NW wind will swing more W through the day, creating less than ideal conditions as the swell kicks later.
From Monday we'll see a constant stream of W/SW gales extending from us down through our south-western swell window to the polar shelf, with a fetch of stalling severe-gales Monday and Tuesday expected to generate strong levels of SW tending S/SW groundswell through Tuesday and Wednesday.
Size wise we're looking at Monday coming in around 3ft through the morning with a NW breeze, giving into a W/SW change and kick in size to 3-4ft into the afternoon, holding Tuesday ahead of the best pulse of swell Wednesday to 3-5ft.
Winds should hold from the W/NW most of Tuesday but Wednesday will see early W/NW winds, swinging SW as the frontal progression starts to shift more to the east.
We're then due to see the swell hanging in at a good size Thursday morning and strong SW gales in our southern window will continue to produce S/SW groundswell well into next weekend though with less than ideal winds. Early morning windows are likely, but we'll review this Monday. Have a great weekend!