Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 25th October)

Best Days: Thursday morning, Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning, Thursday morning

Recap

Small 1-2ft waves hanging in through yesterday, while today when a new swell was expected to come in at 1-2ft, the surf is back to a tiny 1-1.5ft. It looks like the swell could have been a touch delayed with Cape Sorell peaking currently, so we should be seeing 1-2ft sets across Clifton this afternoon though with sea breezes.

This week and weekend (Oct 26 - 29)

This afternoon's small increase in SW swell is due to ease through tomorrow, back from a small 1-2ft with morning offshore winds ahead of afternoon sea breezes.

From here on, as touched on in Monday's update there's nothing major on the cards at all with no new storm energy firing up until over the weekend.

What we'll see though is a couple of very impressive lows firing up under the influence of a strong node of the Long Wave Trough.

The biggest and strongest though looks to sit just too far north of us to generate any size at all.

Instead as it weakens and drifts south-east, a burst of strong to gale-force W/SW winds through our western swell window Monday, should generate a small spike in W/SW swell for Tuesday.

We're only expected to see 2ft sets through the morning, easing back through the day, though with persistent offshore NW winds.

A secondary intense low is forecast to develop in the wake of the high sitting low, forming further south and more in our swell window.

We should see a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds pushing east through our western swell angle, producing a much better W/SW groundswell for Wednesday, kicking to a strong 3-4ft across Clifton into the afternoon.

Unfortunately an onshore change is due to move through late morning but there should be a window where the swell builds before conditions become too messy. More on this possible second swell on Friday.