Small swells for the weekend, cleanest Saturday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 18th October)

Best Days: Saturday

Recap

Small fun surf easing from 1-2ft yesterday morning, tiny to flat into this morning.

This week and weekend (Oct 19 - 22)

Unfortunately there's been a decent downgrade in the swell due Friday, with the intense and strengthening mid-latitude low that was expected to move in from the west due to weaken and also sit too far north of us, with no decent swell due off it at all. A tiny onshore wave is due later but not worth aiming to surf.

Some better swell is due over the weekend as a secondary more favourably aligned and stronger polar fronts move through our swell window.

The first will pass through Friday afternoon and evening, generating a fetch of strong W/NW winds through our western swell window.

While not ideal we should still see a small 1-2ft wave for Clifton on Saturday with a W/NW breeze, tending more W'ly through the day.

A secondary weaker front moving in from the west during Saturday should keep 2ft waves hitting into Clifton Sunday morning, easing through the afternoon and Monday.

Unfortunately this secondary front will bring onshore SW winds Sunday, back offshore Monday as the swell becomes tiny.

Longer term we're looking at small fun waves through the middle of the week from a small slow moving polar low in from the west over the weekend. More on this Friday.