Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 13th September)

Best Days: Protected spots early tomorrow, Friday, protected spots early Saturday, Sunday

Recap

Some new W/SW swell yesterday but besides early variable winds, conditions were mainly average with onshore winds.

Today the swell was easing but cleaner with 1-2ft sets.

This week and weekend (Sep 14 – 17)

These notes will be brief as Ben’s away today.

Tomorrow is still super tricky, but in short we're looking at windy weak waves through the morning with some stronger W/SW groundswell into the afternoon.

The morning's swell will be generated by the front linked to the groundswell passing across us this evening, generating a tight fetch of W/SW gales through our western swell window this afternoon and evening, pushing across us tomorrow morning.

We're due to see a rapid increase in close-range W/SW swell to the 3ft range probably by mid-morning, smaller at dawn, with the groundswell for the afternoon being smaller but stronger.

Winds tomorrow should be gusty out of the W/NW early, tending W/SW mid-morning and easing into the afternoon.

Come Friday we should see the swell fading from a small 2ft with offshore NW winds.

Looking at the dynamic low that was forecast to develop later Friday, we're looking at a similar system to tomorrow but with a touch more strength behind it.

Into Friday afternoon and evening a tight fetch of severe-gale to storm-force winds will be generated under as, generating a solid kick in swell for Saturday, likely up to the 3ft range again with early W'ly winds, tending SW through the day.

Sunday looks like the best day to surf as the swell eases from 2-3ft with offshore winds.

Into next week a deep and powerful polar low forming south-west of WA is expected to generate some good W/SW groundswell for Tuesday/Wednesday, but more on this Friday.