New W/SW swell for tomorrow, with swell from all directions from Thursday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 11th September)

Best Days: Early Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday morning

Recap

Saturday pumped across protected spots with a strong new S'ly swell and favourable winds.

The swell eased back into Sunday from 3ft with cleaner conditions across Clifton, but big straight-handers. Today was tiny and great for keen beginners.

This week and weekend (Sep 12 - 17)

Our fun new W/SW groundswell for tomorrow is still on track, generated by a vigorous polar low that developed south-west of WA late last week. The system moved slowly east towards us while generating some good looking winds.

We should see the swell offering 2ft waves across Clifton, with the odd bigger one but besides an early offshore, a change mid-morning will create average conditions.

Wednesday will be clean again but small and fading from 1-2ft.

Into Thursday we're looking at a mix of acute building W'ly groundswell, generated by a strong mid-latitude front that's currently south-west of WA, mixed in with some close-range W/SW swell produced by the remnants of the storm pushing over us Wednesday night.

The close-range energy will be largest, with W/SW gales right off our door step due to generate building surf to 2-3ft during the afternoon but with strong W/SW winds.

A return to offshores is then expected on Friday with easing 2ft sets.

The timing and strength of this system moving across us is still up for grabs, so check back here Wednesday for an update on this.

Into the weekend we've got another dynamic system due to develop right over us with a deepening low due to project gale-force S'ly winds into the state.

This is expected to produce a stormy S'ly windswell for Saturday with stronger swell into Sunday, but more on this Wednesday.