Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 9th August)

Best Days: South-east facing breaks tomorrow afternoon, Sunday morning, Monday morning

Recap

Average S'ly swell yesterday with poor winds, easing back from a weak 1ft today with cleaner conditions.

This week and weekend (Aug 10 - 13)

The SE swell due across exposed south-east facing breaks tomorrow has been downgraded a little, with the fetch forming on the southern flank of a broad Tasman Low to our east, being a touch weaker than ideal.

We're likely to see inconsistent 1-1.5ft sets building across Clifton (bigger at more exposed breaks) and peaking through the afternoon before easing from 1ft Friday morning.

N'ly winds are due to swing more N/NW into the afternoon, favouring most spots open to the SE swell, with stronger W/NW winds Friday.

Moving into Saturday, and the frontal system due to generate an acute W'ly swell has been upgraded in strength a touch, but the fetch remains super west and tricky.

We'll see gale to severe-gale W'ly winds projected east through our western swell window tomorrow, passing under us through tomorrow.

An acute W'ly swell is due off this storm, peaking Saturday morning with Clifton only likely to come in around 2ft before easing into Sunday from 1-2ft.

On the backside of a secondary front passing across us Saturday we'll see a much better aligned fetch of strong S/SE winds projected up through our southern swell window from below us.

This should produce a good S'ly swell for later Sunday and Monday morning. Sets to 2-3ft are due later Sunday, easing from a similar size Monday, tiny Tuesday.

Coming back to the expected conditions, and Saturday will see fresh to strong W'ly winds all day, holding early Sunday from the W/NW ahead of a S'ly change.

Monday morning should see NW offshores again, giving into a W/SW change through the day.

Longer term there's nothing significant on the cards as a slow moving mid-latitude storm moves in from the west, but more on this Friday.