Monday morning the only real surf day

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 28th July)

Best Days: Monday morning

Recap

Fun waves yesterday with a new S'ly swell and offshore winds all day, but into today the swell was all but gone with tiny leftovers across the coast.

This weekend and next week (Jul 29 – Aug 4)

With the S'ly swell fading right back into today, there's nothing due into tomorrow morning with clean flat seas.

Sunday will remain tiny most of the day, but later in the day and more so Monday we should see some new W/SW swell filling in.

Currently a vigorous mid-latitude low is generating storm-force W'ly winds at a similar latitude to the South Arm. As this isn't positioned further south, I don't expect any size from this into Sunday morning, but over the weekend, the storm will push east while slowly drifting south.

A more favourably aligned fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds will be generated in our western swell window, with a weak fetch of W/SW winds passing under us Sunday afternoon.

With this we may see 1-1.5ft sets on dark Sunday, but Monday should reveal small 1-2ft sets before fading later, easing from 1ft Tuesday.

Conditions will be clean all day Sunday and Monday morning before a shallow S/SE change moves through during the day. Tuesday should become clean again with variable winds but no swell.

There's nothing significant for the rest of the week, with a small south-east dipping polar low possibly generating a small swell mid-week.

Longer term there's some better W/SW groundswell due next weekend, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!