Small swells, possible developments next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 12th July)

Best Days: Friday, early Saturday

Recap

A good reinforcing SW groundswell for yesterday morning, coming in at 2-3ft across Clifton with offshore winds, smaller and easing from 1-2ft today.

This weekend and next week (Jul 13 - 16)

We're looking at tiny waves into tomorrow, likely becoming flat into the afternoon ahead of our inconsistent long-period W/SW groundswell Friday.

This swell was generated earlier this week and we should see Clifton offering infrequent 1-2ft sets but with all day offshore winds.

Our secondary but less favourably aligned W/SW swell for Saturday is still on track, but the strength of the storm generating this swell was a little better than expected on Monday.

Also a weakening fetch of strong W/SW winds being projected south of the country towards us, on the edge of our swell window should help get this swell just over the line.

In saying this I wouldn't expect anything over an inconsistent 1-2ft ahead of fading 1ft+ waves Sunday.

Conditions Saturday look clean at dawn with a W/NW breeze, but the front linked to the swell will pass across us, bringing a W/SW change through the day. Sunday should be good again with all day N/NW winds.

Longer term we're expected to see a cold mid-latitude low wandering in from the west over the weekend, stalling off the south-east corner of the country into early next week.

With this we may see a fetch of strong to gale-force S/SE gales shoved up into us, generating some S/SE swell, but check back on Friday for confirmation on this.