Small surf this period, possibly bigger next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 3rd July)

Best Days: Wednesday, Thursday morning, late Saturday, Sunday morning

Recap

Clean fun waves Saturday morning to 2ft on the sets, tiny into yesterday and similar today.

This week and weekend (Jul 4 - 9)

Tomorrow is expected to remain tiny with N/NW tending variable winds as a weak surface low drifts slowly south-east across us.

Into Wednesday morning, the surf is still due to start tiny, but a fun new inconsistent W/SW groundswell is due to build through the morning.

This swell was generated in our far swell window late last week and over the weekend. A fetch of storm-force W'ly winds were produced west of Heard Island before the low moved slowly east while weakening.

Infrequent 2ft sets are due across Clifton from mid-late morning with offshore NW winds due all day.

A drop in swell is expected Thursday from 1-1.5ft with persistent W/NW winds.

Heading into Friday and Saturday morning there's nothing major due, but a fun new inconsistent SW groundswell is on the cards for late Saturday/Sunday morning.

This will be produced by a strong polar low forming in the Heard Island region tomorrow, generating a pre-frontal fetch of NW gales, followed by a better aligned and stronger post-frontal W/SW fetch.

We may see a late increase in size Saturday to 2ft, easing Sunday morning from a similar size.

Conditions are looking clean all weekend as a series of mid-latitude fronts move across us.

Longer term we may see a strong polar low forming south-west of us over the weekend, generating a more significant swell for early next week, but more on this Wednesday.