Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 10th May)

Best Days: Friday morning, Saturday and Sunday mornings, Tuesday, Wednesday

Recap

The S/SE swell held in with more size than expected yesterday and this morning with bumpy 2-3ft sets Thursday, cleaner and 2ft this morning.

This week and weekend (May 11 – 14)

Tomorrow a very acute westerly swell is due to pass us and any swell that may sneak into the South Arm will be spoilt by an onshore change moving through mid-morning. Early clean 1-1.5ft sets may be seen, but I wouldn't expect much.

Our pulses of SW groundswell for Friday and the weekend are still looking good with an initial broad but relatively weak polar front firing up south of WA last night, generating strong W/SW winds.

This should produce a fun SW swell for Friday, coming in at 1-2ft, easing back from a similar size Saturday morning.

A secondary pulse to a similar size is due Sunday from pre-frontal W/NW fetch, coming in at 1-2ft before fading Monday.

Conditions will be clean Friday morning, giving into mid-late afternoon sea breezes. Saturday and Sunday mornings are looking a little dicey as a small weak trough develops to our east, directing S'ly winds towards us, that may be more variable early. More on this Friday though.

As talked about last update, we've got some better SW groundswell energy due next week, generated by some stronger polar frontal activity through our south-west swell window later this week and over the weekend.

Fetches of W/NW gales should produce some fun SW swell from Tuesday, coming in at 2ft, easing slowly Wednesday. Winds are looking favourable each morning, with afternoon E'ly breezes, but check back Friday for an update on this.