Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 1st May)

Best Days: Wednesday morning, Thursday

Recap

Average onshore waves Saturday with a building mix of swells, much better yesterday with offshore winds and clean easing 2-3ft surf.

Today the surf was tiny as expected, ideal for beginners.

This week (May 2 – 5)

I wouldn't expect any real size on the coast tomorrow morning, with a weakening mid-latitude front moving in from the west due to generate some building mid-period W/SW swell through the day.

Currently a fetch of weakening strong to gale-force W/SW winds are being aimed through our western swell window, with an increase to 2ft+ due through the afternoon. Winds will be offshore early and from the NW but strong SW change is due late morning as the front moves across us.

The fetch of S/SW winds trailing this front is a touch weaker than forecast on Friday, and the resulting S/SW swell a little smaller and delayed in timing across the South Arm.

This swell should build later Wednesday and peak Thursday morning, but before this a mix of W/SW and SW swell are due, easing from 2ft to nearly 3ft Wednesday morning.

Conditions will be much cleaner Wednesday morning with a NW breeze, giving into W/SW breezes around midday.

Thursday then looks great with a light offshore N/NE breeze and S/SW swell easing from 2-3ft.

Come Friday only a tiny easing 1ft+ waves is due.

Next week onwards (May 6 onwards)

Into the weekend we'll see W'ly swell impacting our West Coast, but the storms generating this will be too north for the South Arm.

A deepening mid-latitude low moving across the state on Sunday morning is expected to aim a fetch of S/SE gales into us, kicking up a stormy S/SE swell for the afternoon and Monday but with terrible conditions.

After this there's nothing major showing, but more on this Wednesday.