Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 9th January)

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Best Days: Wednesday afternoon protected spots, early Thursday, early Friday, Sunday morning protected spots

Recap

A small fun swell for Saturday morning with offshore winds, fading through the day and tiny into yesterday and today.

This week (Jan 10 - 13)

Tiny surf should continue tomorrow but into Wednesday an intense mid-latitude low passing under us will generate a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds through our western swell window.

The low will track very fast which isn't ideal, but the strength of the winds should still produce a kick in W/SW swell Wednesday afternoon, building rapidly to 3ft across Clifton with an early NW'ly giving into strong W/SW winds.

Offshore NW winds are due again early Thursday but the swell will recede rapidly from 2ft to maybe 3ft, smaller and 1-2ft Friday morning.

This weekend onwards (Jan 14 onwards)

We've got a significant cold outbreak forecast to occur west of us on Friday with a fetch of gale to severe-gale W/SW winds initially being too far north.

As the system moves east though, a tight fetch of severe-gales will be generated right under us Saturday afternoon, tending SW into the evening.

This should produce a solid increase in W/SW swell later Saturday, reaching 3ft by late and then easing slowly from 3-4ft Sunday morning.

Winds unfortunately look to be onshore through this swell event, including Sunday morning, but we'll confirm this Wednesday.