Plenty of swell for the weekend, cleanest Saturday morning

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 23rd November)

Best Days: Early Saturday, earky Monday, Wednesday

Recap

Monday's S'ly swell was only tiny into Tuesday morning fading through the day, while today was even smaller with an onshore wind.

This week and weekend (Nov 24 - 27)

Tiny surf is expected to continue tomorrow and with early onshore winds, while Friday is also expected to start tiny ahead of a new W/SW swell into the afternoon.

This will be produced by a relatively weak front pushing up and across us, kicking up 2ft of swell into the afternoon but with onshore W/SW winds.

Saturday's stronger swell is still on the cards, with a secondary burst of near gale-force W/SW winds moving in over the active sea state produced by the first front.

A moderate sized SW groundswell should build through the day, from 3ft through the morning, to 3-4ft through the afternoon. Sunday should then see easing surf from 2-3ft.

With a slight downgrade in the swell and front strength, winds early Saturday look a bit better with a morning W/NW'ly, tending W/SW into the afternoon, while Sunday looks dicey with W/SW breezes possible all day.

Next week onwards (Nov 28 onwards)

Into early next week the surf will continue to fade with offshore winds Monday morning.

A small and weak but slow moving mid-latitude low pushing in Monday afternoon should aim a fetch of strong W/SW tending S/SW winds through our swell window.

A new SW tending S/SW swell is due Tuesday from this low, coming in around 2ft if not a bit bigger, easing from the same size out of the S'th Wednesday.

Conditions look onshore Tuesday, with NE winds on Wednesday, but we'll review this Friday.