Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 30th September)

Best Days: Wednesday morning, Thursday, Saturday morning, Sunday

Recap

A tiny bit more swell over the weekend with infrequent 1ft sets with lumpy conditions Saturday morning and cleaner waves Sunday.

Today the surf was flat with a fresh offshore.

This week (Oct 4 - 7)

Tomorrow is still due to be tiny with a W'ly fetch generated under us too west in nature to generate swell.

Some better size is due Wednesday morning with a secondary weak front due to move in later tomorrow afternoon and under us overnight.

This should produce a slight kick to 1-2ft Wednesday morning, easing back through the day. Conditions look clean with a NW'ly ahead of a late W/SW change.

Later in the day Wednesday a very strong and intense mid-latitude low is expected to deepen and project a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW tending SW winds right under us.

A late increase in swell is due off this low, peaking overnight but then easing Thursday rapidly from the 3ft range.

Offshore NW winds will keep conditions clean all day as the swell eases.

Friday will be tiny.

This weekend onwards (Oct 8 onwards)

Another small but tighter mid-latitude low passing under us later this week should produce a late kick in new swell Friday, peaking Saturday morning to 2ft across Clifton.

The low will move off quickly to the west to be followed by a secondary weaker front passing under us. 1-2ft sets should then persist into Sunday before fading into Monday.

Winds Saturday will be from the W/NW tending W/SW, with Sunday seeing offshore N/NE tending N/NW winds.

Longer term a much more vigorous low is expected to form under us next week, but we'll have a closer look at this on Wednesday.