Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 31st August)

Best Days:

Recap

A good clean strong S/SW groundswell yesterday morning coming in at 3ft across Clifton, while today the swell has continued to hold a good 2-3ft.

This week and weekend (Sep 1 - 4)

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Tomorrow's inconsistent SW groundswell is still on track, with inconsistent but good 2-3ft sets due across Clifton tomorrow, easing back slowly from 2ft Friday.

Conditions will be best early tomorrow with a NW'ly, tending W'ly through the mid-morning as a weak low pushes past us. Friday will then see NW tending E/NE winds.

Into the weekend, Saturday will be small and fading from 1-2ft with morning offshores.

Sunday is expected to be tiny early, but into the afternoon a new small and inconsistent W/SW groundswell should be seen. Only 1-2ft sets are due but W/NW winds will create clean conditions all day.

Next week onwards (Sep 5 onwards)

Of greater importance is the development of two separate and much stronger polar lows south-west of WA later this week and through the weekend.

An initial fetch of severe-gale W/NW gales will set in motion an active sea state for a more elongated fetch of severe-gale W/NW winds to move over, generating a moderate sized W/SW groundswell for Monday.

This swell should build to strong 3ft through the afternoon, holding a similar size Tuesday morning.

The progression will stall slightly to our south-west Monday, keeping plenty of swell hitting into Tuesday afternoon, but a secondary intensification an push up into us Tuesday evening should generate another good pulse of SW groundswell for Wednesday.

Winds are the make or break, with NW breezes Monday, N/NW tending late SW Tuesday and then possibly from the W/NW early Wednesday. We'll have another look at this Friday.