Lots of surf to come, cleanest over the coming days

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 23rd November)

Best Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, early Friday morning

Recap

Tiny building windswell through Saturday, becoming stronger into the afternoon, while Sunday we saw a strong and powerful SW groundswell fill in, offering 3-5ft sets across Clifton through the morning, peaking even larger into the afternoon with W/NW winds.

This morning the swell was hanging in at 4-5ft with stronger W/NW winds, limiting the best options to protected spots.

This week (Nov 24 - 27)

A reinforcing pulse of SW groundswell due through today should of kept easy 3-4ft sets hitting Clifton, but we've got yet another strong pulse due through tomorrow.

This is currently being generated by a vigorous polar front that's to our west-southwest, projecting a fetch of W/SW gales through our western swell window on an already active sea state.

This should generate another strong pulse of W/SW groundswell building from 3-4ft through the morning to 3-5ft into the afternoon, easing back from 3ft to possibly 4ft Wednesday morning.

NW winds will persist most of tomorrow, while Wednesday looks great with N/NW breezes, tending stronger NW into the afternoon.

Into Thursday the storm track will push less favourably to the north and more into SA and Victoria, which will mean less swell for us.

The direction will be more W/SW, building through Thursday from 2ft+ through the morning to 3ft on the sets into the afternoon. There'll also be some local windswell in the mix as the front starts pushing across us, bringing W/SW winds as well.

Friday should then see the mix of swells easing from 2-3ft with early W/NW breezes, shifting back W/SW through the day.

This weekend onwards (Nov 28 onwards)

Our swell activity will slow down into the weekend and early next week as the nodes of the Long Wave Trough responsible for our current spell weaken later this week. We've got some fun swell on the cards from the middle of next week though, but check back here Wednesday for more on this.