Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 16th October)

Best Days: Sunday morning, Monday morning

Recap

Easing and clean 1-1.5ft waves yesterday, while today, a new tricky W/SW swell due across the region came in under expectations and with light onshore winds, creating poor conditions.

This weekend and next week (Oct 17 – 23)

Tomorrow morning will be clean but tiny with strengthening NW winds ahead of a late afternoon W'ly change. With this change we may see a late increase in W/SW swell, but Sunday is a much better day for surfing.

This change will be linked to a vigorous low passing under the state, and with this, a strong pulse of W/SW groundswell is due Sunday, peaking through the morning to a solid 3ft across Clifton, easing later in the day and further from 1-2ft Monday morning.

Winds should be good and from the NW-W/NW Sunday morning before shifting W/SW before lunch.

Come Monday offshore N/NW winds are due most of the day ahead of mid-late afternoon sea breezes.

Tiny waves are then due into Tuesday and Wednesday, ahead of a new SW swell Thursday. This will be a mix of windswell and building groundswell as a strong but weakening polar front pushes up and into the state on Wednesday.

With the change Wednesday a late increase in SW windswell to 2ft is expected, with the groundswell filling in Thursday and peaking through the middle of the day/afternoon to a good 3ft across Clifton.

Winds unfortunately look to linger from the SW through Thursday, with a very slim chance for an early W'ly, but we'll confirm this Monday.

Longer term, a good new SW swell is a possibility for next weekend, but we'll review this Monday. Have a great weekend!