Slow end to the week, good swell Sunday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 14th October)

Best Days: Small waves Friday morning, Sunday morning, Monday morning

Recap

Clean fun 1-2ft waves both yesterday and today with favourable winds each morning.

This week and weekend (Oct 15 – 18)

A slight kick in W/SW swell later today should keep inconsistent 1-1.5ft waves breaking across Clifton tomorrow morning with offshores, before fading into the afternoon with an onshore change.

Friday's tricky W/SW swell is still on track, with an unfavourably tracking and small but intense low currently pushing in from the west. This should produce a small kick to 1-2ft max through the morning, easing into the afternoon with variable tending NW and then W/NW winds.

The weekend's good pulse of W/SW groundswell is still on track, with a strong low due to form south-west of WA tomorrow, aiming a fetch of gale to severe-gale W/SW winds towards Victoria.

This fetch will initially be too north for us, but as the low nears closer, it is expected to move more into our swell window, and further into our south-west swell window as it passes under us Saturday.

We should see a late pulse of W/SW swell Saturday but only to 2ft or so by dark, with the swell peaking Sunday to 3ft across Clifton, easing and tending more SW through the afternoon, backing off further from 1-2ft Monday.

Winds Saturday will swing from the NW to a gusty W'ly through the day, but Sunday will be best through the morning with a NW tending W/SW breeze.

Next week onwards (Oct 19 onwards)

Early next week doesn't look too exciting, but moving into the end of the week some fun W/SW swell is on the cards as a series of broad but not overly strong polar fronts push in from the west. We'll have a closer look at this on Friday though.