New swell building Wednesday, easing Thursday with OK winds
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 31st July)
Best Days: Tuesday, early Wednesday, early Thursday, early Friday, Saturday, Sunday
Recap
Tiny start to the weekend with average winds, and a late small increase in W/SW swell.
Sunday was better with the stronger W/SW groundswell filling in, coming in at a clean 3ft during the morning, building further into the afternoon. The swell dropped back to 2-3ft this morning as we fell in between swells, and snow fell down the beach level, making for amazing scenes.
A new pulse of W/SW groundswell is now filling in and should reach 3-5ft across Clifton as winds hold from the W/NW.
This week (Aug 4 - 7)
This afternoon's kick in W/SW groundswell should ease back through tomorrow with fresh NW tending W/NW winds. Clifton is expected to drop from 3ft and hold around 2-3ft into the afternoon.
One final pulse of decent groundswell is due into Wednesday, generated by a final strong polar front pushing up towards us today and tomorrow, generating a fetch of SW gales on the edge of our south-western swell window.
This should produce a good SW groundswell pulse, building Wednesday and peaking through the late afternoon to 4-5ft across Clifton but with strong W'ly tending SW winds.
Thursday should still see plenty of size, with the swell easing from 3-5ft under early W/NW winds.
The drop in size will be slowed into Friday as a reinforcing S/SW groundswell fills in from a trailing fetch of strong to gale-force S/SW winds on the back of the frontal system moving through over the coming days.
This should kick Clifton back to 3ft through the afternoon with likely early W/NW winds, swinging SW through the day.
Into the weekend the surf will ease back slowly from the S/SE, as a polar fetch of S'ly gales continues to generate surfable waves through Saturday and Sunday with offshore N'ly winds.
Longer term there's nothing too significant on the cards, so check back here on Wednesday for an update on the S'ly swell due Friday/Saturday.