Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 6th May)

Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday, Saturday, Sunday morning, Wednesday morning, Thursday week

Recap

A slow increase in long-range W/SW swell yesterday with strong offshore winds ahead of a better pulse today to 2-3ft as strong NW winds continued.

This week and next week (May 7 - 15)

Currently a slow moving and broad polar low is spawning front after front up into us, the first of which has kicked up today's increase in W/SW groundswell.
A much stronger frontal system is forecast to aim a fetch of severe-gale SW winds through our south-western swell window tomorrow, kicking up a large increase in SW swell through tomorrow afternoon, peaking overnight and easing rapidly Friday.

A late increase from 2-3ft to 3-4ft is due tomorrow across Clifton, with the swell easing from 4-5ft Friday morning, down to 3ft through the afternoon.

Winds will remain strong and from W/NW to W/SW tomorrow with strong W/NW winds Friday favouring slightly protected breaks.

Another new W/SW groundswell is due into Saturday as another strengthening frontal system aims a fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds through our swell window Friday, with Clifton expected to hand around the 3ft range with W/NW tending N/NW winds.

A dip in size is due Sunday and then into Monday a less favourably aligned cold front is expected to aim a thin fetch of severe-gale W/SW tending SW winds under us Sunday evening and Monday.

This should produce 3ft of W/SW swell Monday morning, swinging more SW in direction through the afternoon and then holding a similar size Tuesday. Winds will be poor though and strong from the W/SW tending SW Monday and then SW Tuesday.

Into the end of the week we may be looking at one final pulse of large and powerful S/SW groundswell as a polar low projects a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force S/SW winds up into us.
This could produce a swell in the 4-6ft range with S/SW winds, but more on this Friday.