Swell with onshores until Thursday, large swell next week
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 3rd April)
Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday morning, Monday in protected spots
Recap
Fun weekend of waves with swell to 2ft or so under morning offshores, remaining OK from the NE Saturday afternoon and variable into Sunday afternoon.
Today an onshore change has created poor conditions as the swell continued in the 1-2ft range.
This week (Apr 7 - 10)
A couple of good pulses of SW groundswell due through tomorrow and Wednesday are still looking to be spoiled by onshore winds.
Tomorrow's increase should come in at 2ft+ with early S/SW tending SW winds, while a stronger pulse Wednesday to 2-3ft will unfortunately be met with fresher S/SW tending S'ly winds.
Thursday morning should see a local early W/NW'ly and the swell should be up around 2ft.
Friday should then be smaller with a morning NW'ly and then SE sea breezes.
Longer term we're expected to see a strong node of the Long Wave Trough strengthening across the southern Tasman Sea over the weekend.
What this will do is strengthen and aim a series of vigorous polar fronts up through our southern swell window, through the Tasman Sea.
The strongest of this progression is forecast to project a fetch of gale to severe-gale S/SW winds through our southern swell window, generating a large S/SW groundswell for Monday in the 6ft range. We'll have a closer look at this on Wednesday though.