Fun weekend, plenty of swell next week but with poor winds
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 3rd April)
Best Days: Saturday morning, Sunday
Recap
A junky and poor S/SE windswell kicked up through yesterday but with terrible winds. Today the swell was a lot smaller but cleaner with morning offshores. Exposed breaks to the S/SE swell were still offering fun sets but winds have gone onshore again.
This weekend and next week (Apr 4 - 10)
There's been no real change to the SW swell due over the weekend and into Monday. An inconsistent increase to 2ft is due tomorrow, with a slightly better pulse Sunday to 2ft+. Sunday's swell should then ease a touch from 2ft or so.
Winds tomorrow look favourable with an offshore N/NW wind ahead of afternoon SE sea breezes, and then N/NW rending N/NE breezes Sunday.
Monday is looking poor as a surface trough starts to push in from the west bringing an onshore S/SW change.
From Tuesday onwards we've got some strong pulses of SW groundswell on the cards, but winds look to be a bit of an issue.
An initial pulse Tuesday will be generated by a strong polar front pushing east-northeast towards us this evening and tomorrow.
Clifton should build to an inconsistent 2ft to occasionally 3ft into the afternoon but winds look to remain onshore from the S/SW.
A larger increase in SW groundswell is due Wednesday from a much stronger and vigorous polar low developing to our south-west Monday. A pre-frontal fetch of W/NW gales will produce an active sea state for a secondary fetch SW gales to move over, generating a large open ocean groundswell.
This swell should peak through Wednesday to a solid 3ft+ across Clifton, but again the winds may still be onshore as a front from the low clips the South Arm early morning. We'll review this on Monday and weight up the chances of an early W/NW'ly.
Thursday should be clean as the swell eases with N/NW offshores with 2-3ft sets still on offer early.
A further couple of pulses of SW groundswell are due Friday and Saturday next week, but we'll have a closer look at this Monday. Have a happy and safe Easter!