Fun peaky S/SE windswell Friday morning, SW swell for the weekend

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 1st April)

Best Days: Friday morning, Saturday morning, Sunday

Recap

A good pulse of W/SW groundswell yesterday to 2-3ft across Clifton with favourable winds through the morning ahead of afternoon sea breezes, while today was much smaller and back to 1-2ft under persistent N'ly winds.

This week (Apr 2 - 3)

We've got a strong onshore change and building S/SE windswell for tomorrow as a deepening surface trough pushes across us.

Clifton should build to a junky and messy 3ft+ through the day but with no quality.

The low is expected to stall off our East Coast through Thursday evening before drifting south-east through Friday.

This should see a fetch of strong to gale-force S/SE winds aimed into our swell window, producing moderate amounts of S/SE swell into Friday morning to 3-4ft across Clifton before easing into the afternoon.

Winds should improve and tend W/NW during the morning before reverting back to the SW during the day. So there should be some fun peaky waves across the South Arm Friday morning worth scouting around for.

This weekend onwards (Apr 4 onwards)

A fun pulse of SW groundswell for Saturday is still on track with a broad fetch of W/NW gales developing south of WA today.

This swell should come in at an inconsistent 2ft across Clifton on the sets but a secondary better pulse is due Sunday to 2ft+ from a better aligned polar front generating a fetch of W/SW gales through our swell window this evening and tomorrow.

A third and then fourth short-lived polar fronts should then also produce smaller 2ft pulses for Monday with a slightly bigger increase early Tuesday to 2ft to occasionally 3ft.

Winds should be offshore Saturday and Sunday mornings with afternoon sea breezes Saturday, while an onshore change is due dawn Monday creating poor conditions. Tuesday will remain poor with a stronger S/SE change on the cards, but we'll review this again Friday.

Longer term there's plenty of SW groundswell potential for mid to late next week but winds may be a problem with a developing low off the Southern NSW Coast. More on all of this Friday though.