Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 27th February)

Best Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday in protected spots

Recap

Tiny 1-1.5ft waves persisted through yesterday across the South Arm, while today when a similar sized SW swell was due, the surf became even smaller.

This weekend and next week (Feb 28 – Mar 6)

Nothing to get excited about over the weekend with tiny to flat surf dye to continue with clean conditions Saturday under freshening N/NW'ly breeze and then onshore bumpy waves Sunday with a mid-morning SW change.

No real size is due off Sunday's change, with tiny but clean easing 1ft waves through Monday.

As touched on the last few updates, a strengthening node (peak) of the Long Wave Trough is forecast to move across us early to mid-next week and with this we'll see the westerly storm track fire up, setting in motion a series of W/SW groundswell pulses.

An initial small pulse is due Tuesday to the inconsistent 2ft range with Wednesday morning due to start out around a similar size. Into the afternoon though we should see a solid kick in size as the strongest of the frontal progression moves in, projecting a fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds through our swell window, followed by a SW fetch slammed into us early Thursday morning, producing a larger SW groundswell for that day.

Size wise we should see Clifton kicking later Wednesday to 3-4ft, with Thursday revealing at this stage coming in at the 4-6ft range.

Winds in general look to be from the W/NW Tuesday, NW to W/NW Wednesday and then W/SW Thursday, but we'll have a closer look at all of this again on Monday. Have a great weekend!