Good swells spoilt by onshore winds

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 6th February)

Best Days: Saturday morning, Tuesday morning

Recap

Fun levels of S'ly swell have provided 2-3ft waves across Clifton the last couple of days with morning offshores and gusty afternoon sea breezes.

This weekend and next week (Feb 7 -13)

Today's S'ly swell should ease overnight leaving smaller 2ft waves tomorrow morning, fading further through the day under offshore winds that may tend variable as an approaching change wrestles with the sea breeze.

Sunday will be tiny and only clean for a short period around dawn with an early W/NW'ly ahead of a gusty S/SW change.

Monday is looking fun size wise but winds are dicey and may be lingering onshore in the wake of Sunday's change.

A not overly strong but healthy polar front strengthening while approaching us over the weekend should produce a good pulse of SW groundswell to 2ft to occasionally 3ft but an onshore SW tending SE breeze is more than likely.

Tuesday will be much better but smaller with the swell easing from the 2ft range under N'ly tending NE winds.

Into the second half of the week we should see two pulses of W/SW groundswell. The first for Wednesday afternoon will be very inconsistent, originating from a strong but small polar low south-west of WA. The second for Thursday will be more consistent and a bit bigger, generated by a weaker but broader frontal system pushing in behind the low, further east towards us.

Size wise only a very infrequent 1ft to occasionally 2ft waves is due Wednesday afternoon but with onshore winds, while Thursday should see more consistent 2ft sets although with more than likely onshore S/SW winds. We'll review this Monday though.

Longer term the storm track looks to fire up favourably through our swell window later next week generating fun pulses of swell from next weekend, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!