Southern Tasmania Forecast (issued Monday 20th October)

Best Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday morning, Saturday morning

Recap

Friday's swell dropped back from a fun 2ft Saturday morning under favourable winds, while Sunday was tiny and only decent across exposed spots.

Today a new SW groundswell has filled in in the wake of yesterday's onshore change with clean 2ft waves across Clifton this morning. Winds have since shifted SE creating poor conditions.

This week and weekend (Oct 21 - 26)

A secondary pulse of SW groundswell from a trailing fetch of W'ly gales in the wake of yesterday's change is due across the state tomorrow, keeping Clifton topped up around 2ft before easing a touch into the afternoon and from 1-2ft Wednesday morning.

Winds will be favourable and offshore from the N/NW tending fresh NE winds tomorrow and N/NW tending N'ly winds Wednesday.

Thursday will be poor as a surface trough moving across us overnight Wednesday brings with it fresh and gusty S/SE tending SE winds and a kick in S/SE swell to 1-2ft through the day.

The trough will push east through Friday resulting in winds swinging NE and the S/SE swell dropping from 1ft+. A new long-range W/SW groundswell is due though, generated south-west of WA the last few days. The remnants of this low will push towards us along the polar shelf producing not only some reinforcing W/SW swell for Friday but inconsistent levels of SW swell through the weekend.

All this energy is only due to come in at an infrequent 1-2ft across Clifton from Friday through Sunday.

Winds will be variable Saturday morning but light NW early while Sunday looks a little dicey, but we should still see morning offshores developing.

Next Monday onwards (Oct 27 onwards)

We may see some short-range W/SW swell developing early next week across the state as a deepening mid-latitude front pushes across us. More on this Wednesday though.