Pumping surf from a tropical low to start the New Year
South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Wed Dec29)
SEQLD/NENSW Forecast Summary (tl;dr)
- Chunky SE/ESE swell Tues holding Thurs-Fri as strong high pressure ridge sets up, best surf on the Points under SE winds
- Swell increasing late Fri on Sunny Coast, Sat on the Gold Coast, as tropical low tracks parallel to coast. SE winds, pumping on the Points.
- Swell pumping Sun across the region with SE winds, swell direction beginning to tend more E/SE on Sunny Coast
- Strong, longer period E'ly pulse favouring NENSW for most size Mon, with lighter winds potentially opening up beachbreak options on Sunny Coast
- Slow easing Tues with plenty of size early (especially in NENSW) and light land breezes
- Small S swell Wed with leftover E swells
- Potential for strong pulse of S or S/SE groundswell next weekend
- More tropical developments later next week, stay tuned for updates
- Plenty more surf into the New Year, stay tuned for revisions
Recap
A powerful high pressure surge built a strong ridge through the f/cast region over the last 48hrs, with a mix of short period SE swells and longer period S swells seeing surf build into the 3-5ft range in NENSW yesterday, grading smaller 2-3ft in SEQLD. Size has eased a notch in NENSW today as S swell eases in the mix, with SE swell dominating and providing 3ft surf, smaller 2ft in protected locations. SEQLD has seen short period SE/ESE swell in the 3-4ft range at exposed breaks, grading smaller into Points. Outer Points were in the 2-3ft range, with smaller surf wrapping in. SE winds have been on the menu, lighter inshore early.
Plenty of energy this morning with some punchy peaks on offer
This week (Dec 27-31)
A dual-centred high is ever-so-slowly tracking through the Bight, with the smaller, eastern centre now sliding into the Tasman Sea. The extremely strong high pressure surge experienced since Monday has weakened as pressure gradients ease which is ushering in more settled conditions. The action in the tropics is hot and heavy with a tropical low (Invest 97S) located just south of Mornington Island in the western Gulf of Carpenteria. This low is expected to track quickly across Cape York Peninsula, reforming in the Coral Sea within the next 24 hrs. It’s still a chance of then forming into a tropical cyclone, although it’s far more likely to remain a tropical low. Surf prospects from this low are now confirmed as excellent with major weather models expecting the system to track parallel to the East Coast, possibly reforming as a significant extra-tropical storm in the lower Tasman Sea next week. Let’s dig in to the details.
Not much change in the short term f/cast pattern. South-east winds remain entrenched, shifting more E’ly south of Yamba as the dominant high drifts into the Tasman.
We’re still looking at mostly shorter period swell from the SE/ESE, in the 3ft range through Thurs. Quality will depend on exposure to the wind. Cleanest waves on the Points but there will be messier, bigger options at semi-exposed Points/beachies and breakwalls.
Friday brings more of the same. SE winds in QLD, tending more E’ly the further south you go. Possibly E/NE or NE on the Mid North Coast. By New Years Eve the charts will be looking insane, with a tropical low off the CQ/Fraser Coast. That will see some major gradations in surf size through the f/cast region. Size from the supporting fetch should build through the a’noon on the Sunshine Coast, pushing up into the 3-4ft range during the a’noon. It’s doubtful this increase will make it to the Gold Coast NYE. Expect more of the same 3ft surf there, grading smaller 2-3ft and even smaller with increasing S’ly latitude.
This weekend (Jan 1 - 2)
Pumping, in a word, for New Years Day. With the low tracking due E of SEQLD overnight Fri into Sat the prognosis is excellent for building surf from the E through Sat, with the arrival times dependent on latitude. Surf will be pumping on the Sunny Coast early, in the 4-6ft range, smaller across the Inner Points. Lighter S winds turning SE through the day and easing as the low tracks level with the area. Expect size to build during the day on the Gold Coast and through the a’noon across NENSW where size will be a little more subdued in the 3-5ft range.
The strongest winds migrate from the “dangerous semi-circle” along the western flank to the southern flank during Sat/Sun.
That should see an excellent pulse of longer period E swell arriving during Sun, more noticeable as a muscling up of the swell. That should peak AM on the Sunny Coast in the 5-6ft range, lunch-time onwards on the Goldy, and later in the a’noon in NENSW north of Yamba at similar sizes. Lighter SE winds are on offer as the system drags in the synoptic flow. It all adds up to a ton of good to great surf on the Points, sand banks and crowds permitting. This will be a solid swell with a heap of water moving around so surf places according to your ability and experience levels.
Final update in Fridays f/cast notes.
Next week (Jan3 onwards)
The cradling fetch intensifies as the low drifts south, with broad fetch of gales aimed at NSW. A core fetch of stronger storm force winds is also in the swell window aimed more directly at the northern NSW coast with a slight SW retrograde possible.
That suggests a more serious ramp up in size and juice through NENSW Mon. Size should ease through the Sunny Coast Mon, more noticeable at the N facing points as swell direction tends more E/SE. Plenty of size on the open beaches which may be surfable with a light SW wind expected.
Goldy continues to pump with lighter winds and swell direction tending more E/SE through the day. Size in the 4-6ft range slowly easing through the day.
Expect more serious size in NENSW on Mon. The direct hit from the core fetch aimed at the region is likely to see some bomb sets in the 6-8ft range at exposed breaks during the day. This will be serious surf so be prepared or find somewhere sheltered from the direct brunt of the swell. With SW winds tending light S’ly during the day Mon is likely to provide some great surf at places that can handle that size swell from the E.
Tues morning looks fantastic. Light land breezes should see A-grade conditions for the beachies, with plenty of surf easing off the weekends/Mondays peak. Size in the 3-4ft range on the Sunshine Coast, 3-5ft on the Goldy with 6ft sets in NENSW, should see an excellent morning of surfing. Expect morning land breezes to tend NE through the day. If crowds and size have been a bit much you’ll want to pencil in Tues, although there will still be plenty of juice in NENSW.
The second half of next week is still a bit of a mystery bag. S swell is likely to fill in later Wed across NENSW, generated by the front which brings a S’ly change Wed. Expect S to SSE winds through Wed. Leftover E’ly swell energy should hold 3ft surf at more protected locations.
Models diverge through next week. EC suggests an extra-tropical transition with the low becoming a strong, mid-latitude storm and drifting towards New Zealand’s South Island later next week. That suggests S to SSE swell holding into next week, with a more powerful pulse of S/SE groundswell into the weekend.
GFS has the system race away to the south before undergoing ETT (extra-tropical transition) and re-strengthening in the far Southern Tasman Sea mid-late next week. Latest modelling suggests a powerful, long period straight S swell from this source likely arriving next weekend.
Further tropical low pressure is expected to develop in the Coral Sea or near South Pacific in the New Caledonia area during this period, as well as a possible low pressure trough off the NSW Central Coast. Under current synoptic dynamics, these scenarios will likely be subject to serious revision.
Looks like plenty of surf ahead though.
Check back NYE for the Final F/cast notes for 2021. Plenty of good news is expected.
Comments
Swell direction will be the main ingredient I reckon.
it will change quite quickly through the course of this swell event.
I was hoping for a little bigger over the weekend after I saw the words pumping. 4-6ft outer points = 3 to 4 ft inner points = insane crowds and less waves.
Let's call it decent surf.
Bring on Monday in NNSW. Yeeew
Sigh
Geez, some good Point surf coming...
Steve, will the MNC see decent size Monday?
yep.
timing will be slight lag compared to more N'ly regions.
but it will be solid.
Holiday crowd, good swell and good wind on the points. Ding repairers dream.
Some points have amazing sand, and others not so much.
It's going to be fun.
# Mid Length Madness
What do you reckon the chances of getting a park in Noosa NP.
1am - good
2am - couple left
3am - packed
Why complain when you are the one telling people about it and spreading the word? Keep it hush hush
Lol - about the same as getting a wave to yourself once you do jag a park
I imagine the proximity of the system will make it super consistent (and possibly sweepy?)
Hopefully the skis respect the guys that have earnt their position in the line up.
Steve - are you still thinking NE winds south of Yamba Sat/Sun or more light SE now? I'm guessing the low will track further east than initial thoughts as the BOM has downgraded rainfall expectations on the weekend from 90-100mm back to 15mm?
Sat is 50/50 but more likely light E, tending E/SE in the a'noon.
Sun deffo S'ly
Perfect. Cheers mate
Meh, hopefully moves some sand around at least, wake me when it's Autumn.
Such a double edged sword. It’ll be great to see some swell about but with Noosa the only real viable option I doubt I’ll even get a wave until Monday.
Alex Bluff & Carties are sick waves braaaaah, you'll get hella pitted there.
Cheers man. I've often thought I should get down there during a solid swell event.
Whats wrong with you?
#brissy kooks.
FarQ Tom you cunt.
Lol I live two hours from Brisvegas homie.
And obviously, you can't detect sarcasm; who the fuck would want to surf either of those breaks I named?... I guess Carties can get decent occasionally but it's not the kind of spot you protect.
With crowds these days, all spots are spots you protect, regardless, Carties will be shit, not a big enough headland for the wind and Alex, well, see the screenshot.
Local accesses/lesser known headlands absolutely, name-dropping is inherently off limits.
On the sc, the central name breaks are beyond repair so being protective is a futile process.
Flog.
Noosa only option? Maaaate you gotta climb out your box.
Border situation + vaccine bullshit and similar crowds at every other point break within 2-3 hours of here… it’s a big box.
Perfect forecast for 10/10 snapper-kirra....but dont tell anyone.
Ssssssh, its a secret.
The down the beach view of Alex beach.
wowee
I would um and arr about heading out in that with no one out let alone with the 500 that are out.
Shoulder to shoulder!
Not sure about 500 though.. I just counted heads and got to about 90 (certainly take your point though, it's very busy).
Took a look earlier. The surf's complete crap. The water's brown. It's a coldish, overcast and showery morning. Yet it's so busy down there it's nearly impossible to get a carpark. I must be missing something...
Something else I'm confused about: since when did Sharks become Geriatrics...?
Since every boomer in the country retired here thanks to Covid, along with all the new additions in the Stockland slums trying their hand, plus there's barely been a wave over 3ft since they started. They'll clear out when it gets overhead.
You know how expensive aura and harmony are now sprout. It's fucked ay
You couldn't pay me enough to live in either of those shit holes.
What’s wrong with a 250m2 lot, and a kitchen window steering into your neighbours lounge?
Yeah I'm the dumbass who's going to leave the coast and buy in Caboolture. Priced out of aura. So good
True, brutal.
couldn't even get into the road to get to the carpark at one spot this morning. but it is the week between xmas and new year. so no great surprise there. I found somewhere donkey's laugh away that had a steep 15 minute walk in...had the place to myself.
Any idea when the pass cam will be back? Would be fun to watch the carnage without fighting off a few soccer rovers n hipster cruisers.
Will be in the next few days, just gotta arrange to swap out a router (Xmas period always a little tricky).
Yep hectic time of year. Thanks so much.
It is quite a good reality show that one haha
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-2...
Udo, mate. Stop there.
Words for the young, wise and the wicked:
Also: a word of warning. At this holiday time, a strong swell event can pose risks to many people, surfers or otherwise. Please, keep an eye on your fellow water-lovers, and use your knowledge of your own skill level to help you decide when and where to surf.
haha, nice lift from surfline there monkeyboy
Well spotted :):):)
Solid surf at 10-12 seconds......just enough time to get to the surface, grab a lungful and get flogged again. Sounds like unreal fun, so if the crowd's giving you the shits, just remember you could be stuck in Victoria with summer madness and onshores.
Portsea looked fun today. Better weather than up here too.
no banks just close outs
will be unlikely anyone who hasn't got their fitness/skills up will make it out back.
Yes there will be multiple swells in the water from this one so I can’t see any real lulls.
I almost blacked out from heat exhaustion once trying to get off the rocks in the noon-day sun on a high tide cyclone swell.
must been there for 45 mins.
there were 20 foot sidewinder surges up the rocks. It was death defying.
total horror show.
then paddled out and got a 10 foot set on the head.
booyah.
gawd. I've jumped off the rocks at North Avalon only to land in the pool with no board (board made it to the Ocean somehow). Last time I went out on a decent swell at Boiling Pot I ended up half way down main beach .. got to time that one right.
My word, Ruprecht. My word.
I’m also thinking outer points (which I assume is like BURLEIGH or snapper) will be larger than 4-6ft come late Saturday/early Sunday.
And if EC comes to fruition Sunday arvo could be even bigger as EC had the Tc stalling off SE QLD even with a slight retrograde.
8-12 + sun
yep, more curve balls from EC.
yewwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwvvvvwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwvwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww sigh
From BOM:
"As the development is largely a result of non-tropical factors, the expectation is that it won't be considered as being a tropical cyclone"
I'd love to know what's stopping it from dropping into a cyclone
Qld government changed the definition.....
Bahahaha
I always find the lead up to these events is the most fun. Then Late Sat/Sun/Monday Kirra with all the skis and every surfer on the GC.
This swell will rip the sand from Burleigh, which i believe is a good thing right now as its pretty average at best.
Making the rocky a good option for the Single fin comp next weekend (best viewing) although just looking at the WAMS looks like more swell, however im sure there is lots of changes to come.
Trying to find an acceptable analogue system.
I'm coming up with TC Uesi.
Had a more favourable SW track but eased in strength as it hit the swell window.
That was a peak of 6-8ft surf with some 10ft bombs. Dropped back to 4ft the next day.
I believe this one could be similar for areas north of the border as once it drops south of BRISBANE latitudes it looks to only have a fetch on its S/SW flank that’s aimed back up here.
Jeez, not just holiday crowds in the surf to worry about at Noosa.
"Police in Noosa say they were kept "very busy" by groups of up to 100 teenagers "rampaging" through the streets and a brawl where an unconscious man had his head stomped on multiple times."
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-12-30/noosa-assault-groups-of-up-to-100...
And people wonder why the toffs want to keep everyone out.
Heavy...but not really suprised, this been happening every holidays since god knows when. My big bro and his mates got absolutely pumped 20 years ago by a big group that made sure they were known as Noosa Crew at some park party. Noosa and Mools particularly violent around any festive season. Pretty much every NYE there is an article released about a brawl on Hastings or @ O'Malley's in Mools with someone in ICU. What good comes being out after 12/1/2am these days? Beers with your mates at someone's joynt takes the cake. Easily.
JTWC confirms a hybrid system: THIS SYSTEM IS A HYBRID SYSTEM WITH BOTH
SUBTROPICAL AND TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS, AND IS LOCATED JUST NORTH
OF A SUBTROPICAL JET.
But still bullish on it forming a TC proper: THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
Thanks Steve, interesting.
Water temps look pretty good for TC development: http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/forecasts/
Wind predict has in stalling off Fraser. Have things changed with the direction and path of the low ?
Wind predict has in stalling off Fraser. Have things changed with the direction and path of the low ?
There are some model differences.
EC stalls the system out off the QLD/NENSW coast.
GFS continues to run it south.
stay tuned.
great read gents. a life sentance for every second xmas holidays @the inlaws in grafton aint so bad after all:)
BOM still saying NE winds sat sun on the Wooli to Smoky Cape marine forecast. Seems that the weekend will be shite
Keep an eye on Sunday..
Fun reading all these comments from down here. (vic)
Udo's call of 8-12 foot + sounds tempting. I'm assuming you could get uncrowded waves when its that size?
VERY limited options around SE QLD & Nth NSW at that size, so the places you can surf are PACKED.
Yeah I didn’t think there’d be many options.
Should be a fun few days coming up Burleigh.
Watch out, I can see Sportsbet wading into these if you blokes get too carried away.
Not sure which engine powers windy app but I’m seeing 6-8ft opens, 10ft at times Saturday Sunday dropping quick and mid period (10-12 secs)
Means 4-6ft Noosa and inside snapper points I think but only for 36 hours max
Last hybrid systems I recall smashed the Quiksilver Pro events in (I think) '04 and '06'. Pretty sure one of those days saw 15ft+ sets off the Tweed Bar. Spectacular stuff though it destroyed the banks for a while.
aaarrrgggh, still model differences as the system drifts off SEQLD.
Going to be an interesting day.
With a large hybrid system so close to the coast any small differences in track will make big differences in local surf size and wind conditions.
The way a couple of the models show the low just sitting of the coast for about a week must be the ultimate in a ‘cradling high’ type setup?!
not much action on the cams yet
Nothing major due until late tomorrow.
gotcha
This morning was unreal fun.
Goofy check Windy tv charts around 8 pm Sat
And keep your eye on Aggie cam late today and tomorrow.
Noosa weekend surf forecast:
Yep. I reckon what Udo said for Sunday.. 10foot plus and robust.
So how fast does a wave travel
I find it really surprising there is not much rain forecast over the next week. I would have thought that once the inland trough inflects next week it would be pulling the ocean weather across the coast. But I guess there are higher factors at play keeping it out there. I really hope it doesn't happen as the Tweed is already so wet.
Does anyone have any knowledge of how they decipher if a wave goes into the top 10 on the tweed wave buoy? I'm sure Ben has posted bigger waves on the graph in recent years that haven't made it onto the top 10.
Sets starting to roll in at AW
Yep...
An hour off Low tide - with a 2.7 high @ 6.30 pm
Stepladder..
How fast does a wave travel?
In deep water, defined as when the depth of the water column (h) is more than half the wavelength (L), a wave travels at 1.56*T m/s, where T is the wave period in seconds. When h < L/2, the wave begins to 'feel' the sea floor and fictional forces slow the velocity of the wave, the wavelength decreases, while period remains the same. The wavelength is calculated by 1.56*T^2, so if you know the period you can then work out the point at which the wave transitions from a deepwater wave and begins to slow down.
I guess that might not answer your question as I suspect you mean waves in shallow water? I'm not sure of the formula for such waves but you could stand on a headland and time the waves to travel a known distance.
Here's Steve's latest update for Central Qld..
https://www.swellnet.com/reports/forecaster-notes/central-queensland/202...
absolutely devastated. been watching this develop through the forecasts for weeks now, managed to plan and get time off, and now everyone in my house has covid and i have to isolate at home for 10 days while everyone else gets pitted. lucky bastards
Fuuuuuuuck
Bummer!
I'll be right there with you on the sidelines.
You got the spicy cough Freeride?
back injury
I feel ya pain Steve!! Hope it mends well soon.
I also get a back injury when the forecast is 8-10ft :/
lol, 8-10ft is big tho
Anyone got a leggie string?
I’d be out there in a second but can’t find a damn leggie string FFS.
If it's over 8-10ft I plan to have a migraine coming on.
I have this pill for ya. Fixes all migraines.
Cya out there.
No bueno regarding cyclone..
https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/sh9722web.txt
"THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL
STORM, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MID-
LATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES"
"THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM. "
BoM has labelled it a cyclone in their forecast charts: http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml
Wow GFS being super bullish with that fetch on the eastern half compared to EC.
Jeezuz Don.. Bullish? WE talking ASX or surf condys??
Better than the bearish conditions in West Oz.
I'm shorting the Vicco region right now, and going long on the North Shore too.
Not sure what would be more intimidating..a thumping short range swell from a severe storm, or trying to follow and predict it for the legions of swellnet frothers. Great work FR and the swellnet team for all your efforts in keeping us frothed up this year. Cheers!