Poor end to November

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

South Australian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday November 27th)

Best Days: No good days

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Moderate sized S/SE windswell tomorrow and Wed down South, easing later week
  • Strong SE tending S winds tomorrow
  • Small mid-period S/SW swell for later tomorrow, easing Wed
  • Gusty S winds Wed
  • Gusty SE tending S/SE Thu
  • Mod-fresh S/SE tending stronger S winds Fri and Sat
  • Small background swell Fri PM, easing Sat
  • Moderate E-E/NE tending S/SE winds Sun

Recap

Protected spots offered a fun wave on Saturday morning with a peaky mix of weaker swells to 2ft+ before conditions deteriorated into the afternoon, being poor into yesterday. The Mid Coast was tiny and bumpy/lumpy with nothing to surf.

Today the Mid Coast is flat as the South Coast remains poor and onshore though with plenty of size.

Workable waves Saturday AM

This week and weekend (Nov 28 – Dec 3)

Highs and troughs.

They'll dominate the coming forecast period with eyes focussed on the local winds around the traps instead of swell generating storms.

Reason being, without favourable winds and surface conditions it's not really worth worrying about the incoming swells. Not that there's anything too significant on the cards in any case.

Looking at the current synoptic setup and the trough linked to the weekend's change and strong onshore winds is now merging with a broader area of low pressure sitting inland, spanning NSW, Vic and our state.

The low will squeeze a strong high in the Bight from this evening, bringing strong S/SE breezes today that will remain strong from the SE tomorrow morning, shifting S'ly into the afternoon and S/SW after dark as the inland low drifts south-east towards the Tasman Sea.

Slightly weaker but gusty S'ly winds are due to persist on Wednesday, shifting back to the SE on Thursday as the low moved off further to the south-east and a new high moves in from the west.

Poor, moderate to fresh S/SE winds will become stronger from the S'th into the afternoon Friday, similar on Saturday and finally possibly swinging E/NE-E on Sunday morning.

No major swells are due through this period with background energy not expected to provide anything of substance for the Mid Coast, while localised S/SE windswell will be most dominant across the South Coast, moderate in size tomorrow and Wednesday, easing later in the week.

Moving into early next week, winds look to improve further, swinging NE down South but swell wise there's nothing significant due. The outlook for the rest of next week remains divergent but we may see a mid-latitude low bringing west winds and swell though EC has a weaker outlook. More on this Wednesday.