Poor S/SE windswell, improving later week
South Australian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 8th October)
Best Days: Protected spots keen surfers Thursday morning, Friday, Saturday morning
Recap
Fun clean waves across the South Coast each morning with the most size seen Saturday, smaller into Sunday. The Mid Coast was clean but tiny and only suitable for beginners on the lower tides.
A new small S/SW groundswell arrived yesterday afternoon and has kept Middleton around 2-3ft this morning with favourable winds again. Winds look like they'll remain favourable most of the day now as a mid-latitude low moving in from the west has stalled a touch.
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This week and next weekend (Oct 9 – 14)
Once the mid-latitude moves across us this evening we're in for a few days of poor surfing conditions and strong onshore winds.
This will be a result of the strong high moving in behind the low being very slow moving.
Strong S/SE winds will kick up a building S/SE windswell tomorrow to the 3-4ft range across all locations into the afternoon, easing back from 3ft+ on Wednesday as winds relax a little though still be fresh to strong from the SE tending S/SE.
We'll see winds slowly improve and swing E/NE through Thursday morning but with no new groundswell, just peaky easing levels of S/SE windswell from 2ft to sometimes 3ft.
Into Friday winds will continue swinging around, tending NE and possibly even N/NE through the day along with the arrival of a new long-period S/SW groundswell.
This will be generated by a strong but unfavourably tacking low firing up south-west of WA, with a tight fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/NW winds produced through our southern swell window.
The swell will be fairly inconsistent but long-period and arrive through Friday morning, building to a peak through the afternoon to 3ft on the sets off Middleton, easing back from the 2ft+ range Saturday under fresh NE tending N/NE winds.
The Mid Coast isn't expected to see any size at all through this period, with tiny to flat conditions expected from tomorrow through the weekend.
Longer term we're looking at small to tiny surf into early next week ahead of some fun W/SW swells mid-late week from strong mid-latitude frontal activity firing up towards WA. More on this Wednesday though.