South Australian Forecast (issued Friday 8th May)

Best Days: Saturday, early Sunday, Monday morning for keen surfers in protected spots, Tuesday morning

Recap

Solid and workable waves early yesterday down South before winds swung onshore from the W/SW and then SW. The Mid Coast was a messy 2ft but improved through the afternoon as winds eased.

Today a leftover and weak 1-1.5ft wave was seen on the Mid, while the South Coast was great with clean 5-6ft of swell opening up locations closer to Victor.

This weekend and next week (May 9 - 15)

Today's large clean swell is due to ease into this afternoon down South and further into tomorrow morning but the Middleton stretch should still offer 3-5ft sets with bigger 6ft waves at Waits and Parsons.

Winds will good all day for protected spots with a fresh and persistent W/NW breeze. The Mid Coast will be a small average 1-1.5ft.

A new SW groundswell is due to arrive later in the day Saturday ahead of a bigger pulse Sunday afternoon and Monday morning.

These swells will be generated by a couple of strong cold fronts pushing up and into Vicco from today through tomorrow and Sunday.

The Mid Coast isn't expected to see any major size late Saturday and Sunday morning, but Sunday afternoon's and Monday morning's pulses should see 2ft sets again across the coast. Conditions will remain poor with onshore winds though.

The South Coast will offer the most size, kicking back to 4-6ft along the Middleton stretch late tomorrow with bigger bombs at Waits and Parsons, easing back a touch into Sunday morning. A larger kick to the more consistent 6ft range at Middleton is then due later Sunday, holding Monday morning and then easing into the afternoon and further Tuesday morning. Waits and Parsons will be bigger and to 8ft.

Winds Sunday will only be good early with a fresh W/NW wind ahead of a shift to the W/SW mid-late morning. Monday will remain average with a persistent W/SW breeze although an early W'ly is likely around Victor at dawn.

Into Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday the American model GFS is going pretty hard with a very strong and intense cut-off low currently forecast to project a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds up into Victoria. If this came off in its current form we'd see 8-10ft surf at exposed breaks on the South Coast and 2-3ft waves on the Mid.

The other models aren't anywhere near as strong and with this I'll keep a reign on the forecast expectations for later Tuesday and Wednesday morning and put it more in the 6ft range again. Well have to have a last look at this on Monday though. Winds look average in any case and from the S/SW, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!