Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Mon October 30th)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Short range S swell possible Fri with S winds
• Not much for the weekend, small and weak
• NE windswell from Tues next week persisting through the week

Recap

A small blend of S and E/NE swells to 3ft yesterday with mostly offshore winds which tended S/SW in the a’noon. Today is seeing small 1-2ft surf, mostly from the S under offshore winds now tending NW/NE.

This week and next week (Nov 1 - Nov10)

The deep Tasman low near the North Island has now dissipated and left the building with a small low in the Central/Southern Tasman supplying small background swells while weak fronts approach from W. This pattern remains slow moving as large high slowly approaches from South of the Bight. 

In the short run, and there’s not much swell energy inbound- just some traces of small S swell and leftover E swell to 1-2ft tomorrow under light/variable winds. Possibly a grovel on a big board.

A weak front passing Tasmania on Fri with a S’ly change will bring some small mostly short range S swell to 2ft at S facing beaches but with winds from the S in excess of 20kts conditions will be poor.

Small mixed bag expected for the weekend. Mostly small S swell Sat, with leftovers to 2ft easing through the day under easing S’ly winds which tend S/SE-SE in the a’noon.

Those winds then tend light E’ly Sun with negligible swells.

Into next week and as high pressure moves into the Tasman we’ll start to see some NE windswell develop. 

Mon looks small and weak and not worth worrying about but by Tues we should see some surfable NE winds swell develop to 2ft in the a’noon under a persistent N’ly flow. 

Should be plenty of workable NE windswell from this set-up

Under current modelling this should be an extended event as the N'ly fetch persists and actually increases later next week. That should see surf build to 3ft Wed, 3-4ft Thurs and into Fri.

Friday may see winds shift from N’ly to NW’ly as a front approaches so pencil that one in.

Check back Fri and we’ll see how it’s shaping up.

Seeya then.