Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Mon 14th August)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• S swell Mon with SW winds 
• More S-S/SE swell pulses Tues and Wed with improving winds
• Potential for minor NE windswell Thurs, easing Fri
• Small S swell pulse Sat, easing Sun

Recap

Tiny waves on Sat in the 1ft range or less. Sunday saw some workable S swell in the 2-3ft range at S facing beaches with fresh SW winds and today has seen more S swell in the 3ft range with SW winds.

This week and next week (Aug14 - Aug 25)

We’ve got a weak high pressure system approaching the state, expected to move over it and NE into the Tasman tomorrow.  A low pressure system near the South Island reached maximum strength last night and is now slowly easing, but still looking good on ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes with S’ly strong winds to gales aimed up the Tasman pipe. That will be a continuing source of swell this week although easing from today. A frontal system forming in the Tasman Fri into the weekend now looks much more of standard system compared to Fri but will still produce a workable S swell Sat. Read on for details.

In the short run and SW-S winds quickly ease tomorrow and tend light/variable as high pressure moves over the state. Fun-sized S/SE swells will peak early in the 2-3ft range, easing during the day.

Nicely structured low maintains some fun S/SE-SE swell Tues/Wed

An approaching front sees winds shift NW on Wed. Leftover S/SE-SE swells to 2ft provide some workable options at S exposed breaks.

Winds remain NW-N on Thurs with tiny surf early. We may see some small NE swell develop but the fetch is located a bit far north to provide much more than 1-2ft surf.

Tiny NE swell leftovers then pad out Fri with 1ft surf, possibly just rideable under fresh W/NW- W’ly winds as a front sweeps across the state.

Into the weekend and a secondary front sweeping up past Tasmania into the Tasman Sea looks to provide a modest spike in S swell Sat, with S facing beaches seeing some 2ft sets.

Surf then quickly eases through Sun, back to tiny under light/mod NW-W winds.

Not much on offer next week at this stage.

Frontal activity under the continent is suppressed by high pressure in the Tasman but a strong enough severe gale force system Mon looks to send some small, long period S swell wrap in on Wed, possibly supplying some 1-2ft sets.

Mostly tiny surf is expected though.

Check back Wed for the latest.