Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Fri 21st July)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Small-mod sized E/SE swell easing slowly Sat
• W tending variable winds Sat
• Moderate sized E groundswell peaking Sun AM, easing into Mon
• W tending gusty S’ly winds Sun, W tending NE winds Mon
• S’ly groundswell wrap likely Tues PM, holding Wed AM before easing with offshore winds

Recap

Fun sized surf to 2-3ft yesterday with light winds. Today has seen E/SE swell producing some nice 2ft+ surf clean under W/SW winds which have tended W-W/NW through the day.

This weekend and next week (Jul 22 - 28)

No change to the weekend f/cast. The strong frontal system/low has lingered near the South Island, with a good fetch of strong to near gale-force S/SE winds producing fun waves today, holding similar size Sat with sets to 2-3ft easing through the day. Conditions should be clean under a W’ly flow, tending more W/SW in the a’noon. 

Sun still looks great. A Cook Strait fetch should generate a good pulse of E'ly swell Sunday to 3-5ft across open beaches in the morning, easing through the day. Great W/SW winds Sunday morning ahead of a S’ly change.

Easing surf with a morning offshore is due on Monday, backing off from 3ft.

Into next week and a really powerful front and parent low steams into the lower Tasman Mon with storm force winds as it moves under Tasmania (see below). That will supply long period S’ly groundswell wrap which should arrive later Tues under current timing with sets up to 3ft at S exposed breaks. Size should hold into Wed morning before easing with offshore winds.

Nothing much of significance expected later next week. We may see another small pulse of S swell Fri from a passing front but no size is expected- 2ft at the max.

Small chance of NE windswell next weekend with high pressure in the Tasman. 

We’ll have a fresh look at this when we come back Mon.

Until then, have a great weekend!