Fun NE swell for early next week
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 28th April)
Best Days: This afternon, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday Thursday morning
Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)
- Easing N/NE windswell tomorrow with W/NW tending E/NE winds
- Inconsistent NE swell building Mon, easing Tue with W/SW tending S/SE winds Mon, W tending NE winds Tue
- Smaller, easing surf Wed ahead of a small E/NE groundswell Thu AM, easing
- Fresh NW tending SW winds Wed, N/NW tending N/NE Thu
Recap
Building levels of N/NE windswell yesterday, cleaning up while easing today with 2-3ft sets across open beaches, a little bigger on the magnets.
This weekend and next week (Apr 29 – May 5)
We've got a slow weekend of surf ahead of a good pulse of NE swell through early to mid-next week.
The N/NE windswell in the water today will fade through tomorrow with leftover 1-2ft sets max on the north-east magnets under W/NW offshore winds ahead of sea breezes.
Sunday looks tiny ahead of some building, inconsistent NE swell energy through Monday, peaking overnight and easing slowly Tuesday.
The source of this swell is a broad, tropical low that's formed north of New Zealand. Right now a distant fetch of strong to near gale-force E'ly winds are being aimed towards south-east Queensland, but the low is due to drop south closer to our swell window this evening. This will be while weakening, and this will put a cap on any major size being generated for us.
Still we should see fun sized waves building through Monday, initially 2ft or so early, building to 4ft on the sets later afternoon, then easing back through Tuesday from a similar size.
The easing trend will be slowed thanks to an intensification of the low directly west of the North Island of New Zealand projecting a fetch of E/NE gales towards us on Monday.
This will produce a reinforcing E/NE groundswell for Thursday, maintaining 2-3ft sets across open beaches before easing into the end of the week.
Winds look favourable Monday and out of the W/SW-SW in the morning, shifting S/SE into the afternoon (good for southern corners) with Tuesday seeing W'ly offshore winds ahead of sea breezes. All day offshore NW to SW winds are expected on Wednesday while Thursday's pulse of reinforcing swell will be met with N/NW tending N/NE winds.
Longer term the outlook is quieter but we'll have a closer look at this on Monday. Have a great weekend!