Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 30th September)

Best Days: South magnets early tomorrow, Thursday south magnets, Saturday south magnets, later Sunday

Recap

No surf over the weekend, while our new S'ly swell due for today has come in, with fun waves across the south swell magnets.

This week and weekend (Oct 1 - 6)

The outlook for this week was fairly average, but we've got an upgrade in the S'ly swell due later Wednesday and Thursday morning now.

Tomorrow, we'll see our current S'ly swell easing, backing off from 2ft at south swell magnets with an offshore wind.

Our S'ly swell for later Wednesday will be generated by an intense polar low forming south-west of the state this evening, projecting a fetch of W/SW gales through our southern swell window while tracking east-northeast.

A fun pulse of S'ly groundswell should build later Wednesday to 2-3ft on dark, and ease back from 3ft Thursday morning, with this being the more reliable day of surf.

Conditions later Wednesday don't look ideal with a small trough on the coast bringing onshore E/SE-SE winds, much better Thursday and W/NW tending gusty N/NE.

Into the weekend a strengthening and broad but not overly strong polar front south of us Thursday evening will generate a small pulse of S'ly swell Saturday to 2ft+ or so with early light winds, strengthening from the N/NE during the day.

This strengthening N/NE'ly will be linked to a strong mid-latitude low moving in from the west, squeezing a high in the Tasman Sea, kicking up a good N/NE windswell through Sunday.

It'll be short-lived but will hopefully reach 2-3ft, and a NW change later in the day will hopefully clean up conditions for the late session. More on this Wednesday though.