Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 4th September)

Best Days: Thursday morning, Saturday protected spots, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday

Recap

Good building NE swell yesterday, holding in at an inconsistent but decent 3ft this morning but on the ease.

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This week and weekend (Sep 3 - 8)

With our current NE swell on the ease, we've got one final and more consistent pulse of E/NE swell due tomorrow morning.

This was generated the last couple of days by a slight re-intensification of the low in the Tasman Sea, west of New Zealand.

Fun 2-3ft waves are due across open beaches most of the day, easing later in the day. A morning W/SW offshore will swing NE into the afternoon, so get in before lunch.

Now, the dynamics around the mid-latitude low moving in and across us later week has changed, with our East Coast now expected to be subject to a good strengthening NE tending E/NE fetch Friday, reaching gale-force into the afternoon.

A large and stormy increase in E/NE swell will be seen, reaching at least 6ft into the afternoon but with terrible conditions.

The low will continue slowly east on Saturday, continuing to aim a fetch of gale-force E/SE winds in our eastern swell window along with strong S/SE winds. Open beaches look to come in around the 6ft range, best in protected spots before easing from 5-6ft Sunday as winds swing offshore from the NW.

The swell will ease steadily, smaller and fading Monday, and a strong polar front pushing up and past us Sunday evening will generate a fresh pulse of S'ly swell that might become large into the afternoon. The models still diverge on the strength and positioning so check back here Friday for the latest.