Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 20th February)

Best Days: Friday, Saturday north swell magnets, Sunday morning, Monday south swell magnets

Recap

A continuation of tiny waves and not really surfable the last couple of days.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This week and weekend (Feb 21 - 24)

Firstly lets look at the most reliable swell source through this period and that will be Friday's SE groundswell.

The last couple of days a good fetch of SE gales has been generated in our swell window, south-southeast of New Zealand.

This should produce a fun though inconsistent SE groundswell for Friday, building through the day and reaching 3ft into the afternoon, easing from 2ft to possibly 3ft Saturday morning.

Now looking at Tropical Cyclone Oma and it's only just moved into our swell window, with satellite observations picking up a small fetch of severe-gale to storm-force N/NE winds in our far swell window.

No cyclone swell has been recorded on the Goldy as of yet, and we're not likely to see any signal out of the N/NE until later Friday and likely more so Saturday.

Oma will track slowly towards the Qld coast and more acute through our northern swell window this afternoon and evening, but maintain a small fetch of N/NE gales aimed at us until Saturday morning.

With this we should hopefully see very inconsistent but small signals of N/NE groundswell through Sunday and Monday, fading Tuesday.

Size wise I would keep expectations very low but we'll hopefully see infrequent sets to 3ft by dark Friday across north-east magnets, holding most of Saturday and then back to 2ft+ Sunday and Monday.

Winds on Friday will be offshore out of the W head of NE sea breezes, with a S/SW tending gusty S/SE change on Saturday, favouring north magnets.

S tending E winds look to linger into Sunday, then from the N-N/NE on Monday.

This southerly change on Saturday will be associated with a strengthening front pushing up through our southern swell window and into the Tasman, bringing a good S'ly swell Sunday to 3-4ft across south magnets but with those average winds.

Monday should be fun with the northerly winds and easing SE swell from 3ft. More on this Friday though.