Fading N/NE swell and building S/SE groundswell

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 25th December)

Best Days: Saturday, Sunday, Monday morning, later week

Recap

Tiny surf yesterday, but today we've seen our N/NE windswell coming in on forecast with not the best, but workable winds out of the north.

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This weekend and next week (Jan 26 – Feb 1)

Today's N/NE windswell event is expected to fade through tomorrow from a small 1-2ft at north-east swell magnets and conditions will be clean with a dawn W/SW breeze, tending S'ly and then SE through the morning, followed by a NE'ly into the late afternoon.

As the N/NE swell fades, our new S/SE groundswell event should fill in, generated the last couple of days by a great but tight fetch of gale to storm-force S/SE winds on the polar shelf.

We should see south facing beaches building to an easy 3ft by dark, peaking Sunday morning to 3-4ft ahead of a late drop in size down further from 2-3ft Monday morning.

Conditions will be great Sunday with a W/NW tending N/NW offshore and then N/NW tending N'ly winds Monday.

The models are showing a tiny N/NE windswell for Tuesday but I wouldn't expect anything over a 1ft leftover.

Of greater importance is the likely development of a deepening low moving in from the west, bringing a good and broadening N/NE fetch followed by a possible return gale-force S/SW fetch into next weekend. This would see a fun N/NE windswell event late week and possible S'ly groundswell event on the weekend, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!