Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 22nd October)

Best Days: Tuesday, Wednesday morning, Thursday desperate surfers

Recap

Fun clean waves Saturday with 2-3ft of NE swell, though a S/SE wind creating average conditions on Sunday, smaller though clean today and back to an inconsistent 2ft.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This week and weekend (Oct 23– 28)

Through this coming week, a persistent and weak fetch E/NE winds extending from the central Tasman Sea up north of New Zealand is expected to generating small levels of NE swell to an inconsistent 1-2ft until about Thursday.

Tomorrow though there'll be a more consistent local source of N/NE windswell with strong N/NE winds developing down our coast this evening ahead of a W/NW change tomorrow morning.

This will produce 2ft+ of N/NE windswell with NW tending W'ly winds, W/SW tending E into Wednesday.

A strong mid-latitude low passing across us Wednesday looks too zonal to generate any decent S'ly swell, with the small inconsistent background NE swell to 1-2ft keeping the coast from going flat.

Our longer term prospects are more interesting as a deepening inland surface trough come mid-latitude low across Western Australia starts to travel south-east through the weekend.

The models are still divergent on the strength and track of this system but it's likely to move across us later in the weekend/early next week bringing with it an initial increase in NE windswell then follow up windy S'ly swell. Check back here on Wednesday for more details on this system.