Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 27th August)

Best Days: Protected spots Wednesday, Thursday, Friday afternoon, Sunday morning and Monday

Recap

Good clean fun waves Saturday with a mix of easing SE and S swells from 2-3ft, tiny into Sunday.

A weak front pushing up past us today should of brought with it a small S'ly windswell but to no major size or power and with poor winds.

This week and weekend (Aug 27 – Sep 2)

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

While the front pushing up past us today was quite weak, it has brought with it a pool of cold air in the upper atmosphere, joining with a surface trough off the East Coast.

As these two combine we'll see a deep and powerful Tasman Low form east of us this evening.

As per last week, we should see a very strong fetch of gale to severe-gale SE winds generated in our eastern swell window, with the low retro-grading (slipping back west) towards us tomorrow.

This will produce a large and powerful long-period E/SE-SE groundswell for Wednesday, with tomorrow consisting of weaker S/SE windswell energy as the low nears us along with average early S/SW tending S/SE winds.

Wednesday however should reveal large and powerful sets to an easy 8ft across open beaches and northern corners. An early W/SW breeze will create OK conditions, tending S/SE through the day, favouring protected spots.

Thursday morning looks excellent as the swell eases from the 6ft range with a W/NW tending N/NW breeze.

Friday looks much smaller with fading 2-3ft sets, but a new N/NE windswell will be in the water and of greater size.

This will be linked to a broad and intense mid-latitude low moving in from the west this week, squeezing a small high between the remnants of the Tasman Low.

Strong N/NE winds will develop down the southern NSW coast early Friday before shifting east and away from us into the afternoon.

What we'll see is a building N/NE windswell through the morning, reaching a peak as winds shift offshore from the W/NW-NW Friday afternoon. It looks like north-east facing breaks should reach 3-4ft into the afternoon as those winds swing offshore.

Come Saturday though there's hardly any size expected to be left at all with clean fading 1-2ft sets max.

Moving into Sunday and Monday, a strong polar front pushing up and across us looks to bring some new S'ly swell, but more on this Wednesday.