Northerly windswell developing late week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 30th July)

Best Days: Friday afternoon

Recap

Tiny surf over the weekend, with a new south swell due today, dependent on a mid-latitude low moving across us not showing.

This was due to the low taking a more zonal track with a fetch of SW winds generated in our swell window rather than S/SW.

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With today's S'ly swell not eventuating, we look towards the N/NE windswell event due at the end of the week, which is still on track.

From now until then, the coast is due to remain flat, but a vigorous mid-latitude frontal system moving in from the west across the country will squeeze a small though strong high in the Tasman Sea.

We'll see a broad and strengthening fetch of N/NE winds developing from the southern NSW coast down to us from later Thursday through Friday before a westerly change moves in during the afternoon.

We're expected to see a building N/NE windswell through Friday, likely reaching a peak just as the NW change moves through, to 3ft+ across north-east facing beaches.

The swell will drop rapidly overnight and from a tiny 1-1.5ft Saturday morning with W'ly winds.

We may see another smaller N/NE windswell event developing over the weekend, but we'll review this and Friday's event again on Wednesday.