Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Ben Matson (issued Thursday 21st June)

Best Days: Fri: small E/NE swell with offshore winds. Sun: windy but building S'ly swells. Mon: light offshore winds, strong, easing S'ly swell. Tues/Wed: smaller out of the south, offshore winds. 

Recap: Residual E’ly thru’ E/NE swells have kept the open beaches flush with small peaky surf following the strong, windy south swell seen earlier in the week.

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Note: Today’s Forecaster Notes will be brief, as Craig is away on annual leave. Also, these Forecaster Notes will be updated Tuesdays, Thursdays and Saturdays for the next few weeks.

Small, persistent E/NE swells will hold into Friday before easing over the weekend as offshore winds strengthen. Make the most of Friday’s clean conditions as we’ve got a developing round of flukey south swells and gusty W/SW tending SW winds due throughout the second half of the weekend. 

The first front travelling south of Tasmania and into the southern Tasman Sea will enter our swell window later Saturday, so the associated swell from it will build throughout Sunday. A peak in size will occur late afternoon or early Monday, though Sunday’s gusty SW will confine the best waves to sheltered locations and they’ll be a lot smaller. South facing beaches should see 4-5ft+ surf at the height of the swell, easing into Monday afternoon and further into Tuesday. 

A secondary front pushing up from directly south of Tasmania (though aimed into NZ) later Sun/Mon will spread some small swell back into the East Coast mid-week but there won’t be much size. Locally we’ll remain under light to moderate W’ly breezes up until about Wednesday or Thursday.  

Long term has a possible deepening trough down the East Coast of the mainland mid-later next week, which may bring about a NE swell event next weekend or early in the following week, but it’s still way to early to have any confidence. More on this in Saturday’s update.