Good NE windswell this week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 6th February)

Best Days: Thursday as winds swing offshore, Friday morning, Saturday

Recap

Tiny Saturday but a new S/SE groundswell should of shown into yesterday was reported to be tiny. Magnets should of shown the new swell as it appeared on the South Arm, while today an onshore change killed it.

This week and weekend (Feb 7 - 10)

Today's onshore change isn't expected to generate any decent swell with it being weak, short-lived and with no fetch length.

Of greater importance is the deepening of the surface trough linked to the change off the southern NSW coast.

This trough will be too far north for the most part, but we'll see an approaching front/trough combo squeezing the strong high in the Tasman Sea, bringing strengthening NE winds down through our swell window Wednesday through Thursday.

A moderate sized NE windswell should develop, building to 3ft+ later Wednesday and peaking Thursday morning to 4-5ft across north-east facing beaches just as the change starts moving through, swinging winds from the W/NW to the S'th.

The swell will ease rapidly after the change, with Friday seeing leftover 2ft+ sets.

Into the weekend, a small fun pulse of E'ly swell is due from a fetch of E/SE winds out of Cook Strait and off New Zealand's North Island on Thursday. Sets should come in at an inconsistent 1-2ft on Saturday with NW breezes, fading Sunday.

Longer term we may see some new S'ly swell early next week, but we'll have another look at this Wednesday.

Comments

therealneil's picture
therealneil's picture
therealneil Monday, 6 Feb 2017 at 9:43pm

Hi crag, firstly cheers for the forecasts, secondly I can report inco and straight 2 to 3 ft Sth swell (unfortunately closeouts) at a Sth swell magnet sat arvo on the Middle East coast, but not much sundy morn

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 7 Feb 2017 at 8:14am

Ah thanks for the report Therealneil, so came up through Saturday afternoon as expected, but gone Sunday. Interesting as the fetch was quite sustained on the polar shelf.

Cheers for the feedback!