Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Guy Dixon (issued Wednesday 9th November)

Best Days: Sunday morning and Monday morning.

Recap: 

Tuesday saw great conditions across the open beaches, particularly in the morning where the surf was in the 3-4ft range off a northeasterly swell. Conditions deteriorated slightly in the afternoon as the wind swung northerly, but remained fairly light so options were around.

There is still no shortage of swell this afternoon with a northeasterly swell continuing to provide 3ft options across the open beaches. Offshore breezes are howling, so conditions are clean, but tricky to paddle in to. Protection will help out.

This week (Thursday 10th - Friday 11th):

This northeasterly swell is likely to dissipate rapidly this afternoon and evening due to the transient nature of the northerly fetch responsible. The surf is only expected to be in the 1ft range across open beaches on Thursday morning, easing further thereafter.

On the plus side, conditions will be clean under a northwesterly breeze which looks to persist throughout the day.

The next significant swell generating system looks to move to the south of Tasmania on Wednesday evening in the form of a front. However, the main west/southwesterly fetches associated with this system have poor alignment and aren’t expected to generate much more than 1ft of sideband energy for the most exposed south swell magnets, building Thursday afternoon and Friday morning, fading thereafter.

Again, conditions are likely to be clean under a persistent offshore flow throughout the day.

This weekend (Saturday 12th - Sunday 13th) and next week (Monday 14th onwards):

The outlook for the weekend is looking bleak, with the only frontal activity steering westerly fetches over the region. Being in the swell shadow, these breezes are not likely to generate any significant swell, with only the most exposed south facing beaches lucky to see 1ft at the most exposed south swell magnets on Sunday morning.

The morning session is looking to offer light offshore breezes, increasing from the northwest north of St Helens, while closer towards Bicheno, northeasterly breezes are likely in the afternoon.

A modest northerly fetch is looking to develop along the NSW coast on Sunday afternoon/evening, however the effects of this system are expected to be very subtle. Open beaches have the potential to build into the 1ft range on Monday afternoon/Tuesday.

Northwesterlies are on the cards north of St Helens on Monday, further south, a northeasterly seabreeze is expected to kick in.

You’ll need to find a bit of protection on Tuesday under a southeasterly breeze, so hit up a southern corner for a few tiny waves.