Tricky outlook mainly due to the winds and timing of swells
Western Australia Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday December 2nd)
Best Days: Tomorrow morning (mid-late morning Perth and Mandurah), Sunday morning in the South West, Tuesday in the South West, Wednesday morning all locations
Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)
- Small-mod sized SW swell filling in tomorrow (mid-late AM Perth and Mandurah), easing Sun
- Moderate E/SE-SE tending strong S/SW winds late AM, (SE-S/SE in Perth and Mandurah in the AM)
- Strong SE tending S/SE winds Sun
- Small Mon with strong SE tending S/SE winds
- Moderate-large S/SW groundswell building Tue PM, peaking later with strong SE-S/SE tending S/SE winds, easing Wed with strong SE tending S/SE winds
Recap
The swell increased overnight Wednesday, peaking yesterday morning with consistent 6ft sets across the South West but conditions were average with a fresh S/SW breeze. Later in the day conditions started to improve but with a drop in swell, cleaner this morning but back to 3-4ft.
Perth and Mandurah were lumpy and onshore with 1-1.5ft sets through yesterday, similar in size this morning and slightly cleaner but for all intents and purposes, too small to surf.
This weekend and next week (Dec 3 - 9)
Looking at the weekend, and we've got a fun pulse of mid-period SW swell due tomorrow across all locations, arriving later morning in Perth and Mandurah. This was generated by a healthy front pushing through our swell window the last couple of days.
The swell will come in a little more west than the swells we've seen the last two weeks and should kick to 2ft on the sets across Perth and Mandurah (undersized early-mid morning) with the South West pulsing to 4-5ft+.
Winds will be best in the morning and E/SE-SE across the South West (SE-S/SE down the southern end of the cape), S/SE to the north, with strong S/SW breezes kicking in from late morning. Hopefully there's window of clean conditions with the building swell in Perth and Mandurah.
The swell will ease through Sunday and be tiny across Perth and Mandurah, easing from 1-1.5ft with easing 4ft sets in Margs. Winds will strengthen across all locations on Sunday, SE in the morning and then S/SE into the afternoon with similar winds due through Monday as the swell bottoms out.
Moving into Tuesday, a good sized S/SW groundswell is due to fill in, peaking into the afternoon/evening. This will be generated by a strong low developing to our south-west on Sunday, with a great fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds due to be produced through our south-western and then southern swell window.
A good kick to 6ft is due across the South West, with 2ft waves later in the day across Mandurah, 1-2ft in Perth, easing back Wednesday from 5-6ft, and 1-2ft respectively.
Winds will be strong from the SE-S/SE tending S/SE on Tuesday, favouring protected spots, with slightly better SE winds on Wednesday with the easing swell.
Longer term we're looking at smaller surf to end of the week, but check back here on Monday for the latest on this. Have a great weekend!