Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 1st June)

Best Days: Both coasts Saturday and Sunday, Surf Coast keen surfers Monday morning, Wednesday exposed beaches

Recap: Solid stormy surf across all locations yesterday, with a slight improvement in conditions through the afternoon as winds backed off on the Surf Coast.

This morning is much better though with good clean conditions with a variable tending locally offshore wind and inconsistent 3ft+ swell on the Surf Coast and 4-6ft waves to the east. The swell will ease off through the day with weak sea breezes.

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This weekend and next week (Jun 2 - 8)

On Wednesday we had an upgrade in swell due over the weekend, but with winds coming from the north-east quadrant.

Today though, the wind forecast is now looking better for a wider variety of locations, with variable tending locally offshore winds expected tomorrow ahead of weak sea breezes, similar Sunday with weak sea breezes from the SW.

A temporary low point in swell is expected early tomorrow morning to 2ft on the Surf Coast and 3-4ft on the Mornington Peninsula, with our new long-period W/SW groundswell due to arrive through the morning. The swell was generated by a tight and intense slow moving low drifting south from under WA, aiming severe-gale to storm-force winds in our swell window.

We should see the Surf Coast building to 3-4ft into the afternoon with 6ft+ sets on the Mornington Peninsula's open beaches, peaking overnight and easing slowly from 3ft+ and 5-6ft respectively Sunday morning.

Monday morning will be smaller and back to 2ft+ and 4ft respectively but an early NW breeze will give into a shallow S/SW change around midday.

We may see winds linger onshore into Tuesday morning, but most likely become more variable along with a new inconsistent W/SW groundswell.

This swell was generated yesterday and this morning by a broad and good fetch of elongated W/SW gales between Heard Island and Western Australia, with the system weakening while moving slowly east through tomorrow.

Some swell should be seen into Monday afternoon, but a peak is expected on Tuesday to an inconsistent 2-3ft mostly on the Surf Coast (possibly rare bigger one at magnets, but mostly 2-3ft) with 4-6ft sets to the east.

Wednesday will see the swell easing as winds swing offshore for the beaches from the N/NE. The Surf Coast looks to ease from 2ft+ with 4ft surf to the east.

A large blocking high will see northerly winds persist into the end of next week with no new swell, but this looks to be broken down next weekend with a deepening mid-latitude low, but more on this Monday.

Have a great weekend!