Southern Tasmanian forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday March 24th)

Best Days: Today, tomorrow ahead of the change, Wednesday morning, Thursday morning, Friday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Small, inconsistent S/SE groundswell tomorrow with light N/NW winds, tending variable ahead of a strong, mid-late PM S/SE change
• Moderate sized SW swell Wed with W/NW winds ahead of S/SE sea breezes
• Easing swell Thu with NW tending S/SE winds
• Small Fri with NW tending E/NE winds
• Building SW swell later Sat, peaking Sun with S/SE tending E winds
• Stronger groundswell for early next week

Recap

Later Friday’s kick in swell eased back from 2ft+ on Saturday morning with great conditions, while our strong new pulse of W/SW swell provided strong 3ft+ sets yesterday with variable morning winds.

Today the swell has dropped back from a fun 2ft+ with clean morning conditions and weak sea breezes.

This week and weekend (Mar 25 - 30)

A flukey S/SE groundswell is due this afternoon and it looks to be currently in the water with a continuation of strong sets across Clifton and this should hold into tomorrow to 2ft+, easing into Wednesday.

Local winds look great through the morning though a trough will bring a strengthening S/SE change into the mid-late afternoon.

Looking at Wednesday, and a new long-range W/SW groundswell is due to be in the water, with no real change to the expected size, but a reinforcing pulse of closer-range SW energy now looks to provide the most noticeable size and energy.

This will be generated by a strengthening polar front and low south-west of us today, with a fetch of generally strong W’ly winds with a tight core of gale to severe-gale winds forecast.

We should see 3ft surf across Clifton and with a W/NW offshore before S/SE sea breezes kick in, smaller and easing from 2ft to occasionally 3ft Thursday under a NW tending S/SE wind.

Easing surf is due through Friday and Saturday morning, while a strengthening polar frontal progression to our south-west through the weekend looks to generate some mid-period SW swell for later Saturday and more so Sunday, followed by groundswell early next week. More on this Wednesday.